I have compiled a preliminary pendulum for the recent Queensland state election; I have no idea what this will look like until I hit “post”! Suffice to say, I’m still learning the functionalities of WordPress after a year of blogging; all I know is that the Excel and Word versions I have of this on my computer look different to this…
Now most electorates in Queensland have been declared, I will be posting analysis of the overall outcome of the election this weekend.
In the meantime, the “table” below ranks the 89 electorates in the Queensland Parliament in decreasing order of their support for the LNP on a two-party basis.
Swings shown are to the LNP and are based on the 2009 results in each seat.
| DISTRICT | MEMBER | MARGIN | SWING | NOTES | |
| LNP SEATS (78) | |||||
|
1 |
SOUTHERN DOWNS | Lawrence Springborg |
30.9 |
9.9 |
|
|
2 |
WARREGO | Howard Hobbs |
30.1 |
8.3 |
|
|
3 |
SURFERS PARADISE | John-Paul Langbroek |
29.2 |
12.1 |
|
|
4 |
GYMPIE | David Gibson |
27.3 |
0.4 |
|
|
5 |
NOOSA | Glen Elmes |
27.1 |
7.1 |
|
|
6 |
GREGORY | Vaughan Johnson |
26.9 |
12.6 |
|
|
7 |
KAWANA | Jarrod Bleijie |
26.5 |
19.5 |
|
|
8 |
MERMAID BEACH | Ray Stevens |
26.4 |
17.1 |
|
|
9 |
MUDGEERABA | Ros Bates |
25.4 |
21.3 |
|
|
10 |
CALLIDE | Jeff Seeney |
25.3 |
5.2 |
|
|
11 |
MOGGILL | Bruce Flegg |
23.9 |
12.4 |
|
|
12 |
COOMERA | Michael Crandon |
23.6 |
21.5 |
|
|
13 |
LOCKYER | Ian Rickuss |
22.2 |
14.5 |
|
|
14 |
ASPLEY | Tracey Davis |
21.6 |
16.9 |
|
|
15 |
TOOWOOMBA SOUTH | John McVeigh+ |
21.5 |
13.7 |
|
|
16 |
CLAYFIELD | Tim Nicholls |
21.4 |
14.7 |
|
|
17 |
REDLANDS | Peter Dowling |
20.9 |
20.6 |
|
|
18 |
HERVEY BAY | Ted Sorensen |
20.9 |
14.9 |
|
|
19 |
HINCHINBROOK | Andrew Cripps |
20.7 |
5.2 |
|
|
20 |
CALOUNDRA | Mark McArdle |
20.7 |
14.6 |
|
|
21 |
MAROOCHYDORE | Fiona Simpson |
20.3 |
7.2 |
|
|
22 |
GLASS HOUSE | Andrew Powell |
20.3 |
14.5 |
|
|
23 |
CURRUMBIN | Jann Stuckey |
19.6 |
12.9 |
|
|
24 |
INDOOROOPILLY | Scott Emerson |
19.4 |
13.8 |
|
|
25 |
GAVEN | Alex Douglas |
19.3 |
18.6 |
|
|
26 |
CLEVELAND | Mark Robinson |
18.1 |
17.7 |
|
|
27 |
BURDEKIN | Rosemary Menkens |
17.2 |
13.7 |
|
|
28 |
BUNDABERG | Jack Dempsey |
16.9 |
10.8 |
|
|
29 |
BARRON RIVER | Michael Trout* |
16.6 |
19.1 |
2PP vs KAP |
|
30 |
MOUNT OMMANEY | Tarnya Smith* |
16.3 |
20.9 |
|
|
31 |
BUDERIM | Steve Dickson |
16.2 |
2.5 |
|
|
32 |
SPRINGWOOD | John Grant* |
15.7 |
19.7 |
|
|
33 |
SOUTHPORT | Rob Molhoek* |
14.8 |
18.3 |
|
|
34 |
CHATSWORTH | Steve Minnikin* |
14.2 |
14.2 |
|
|
35 |
CONDAMINE | Ray Hopper |
13.9 |
no swing |
2PP vs KAP |
|
36 |
PINE RIVERS | Seath Holswich* |
13.8 |
18.2 |
|
|
37 |
EVERTON | Tim Mander* |
12.9 |
14.2 |
|
|
38 |
KALLANGUR | Trevor Ruthenberg* |
12.7 |
17.1 |
|
|
39 |
PUMICESTONE | Lisa France* |
12.3 |
17.2 |
|
|
40 |
ALBERT | Mark Boothman* |
12.1 |
18.6 |
|
|
41 |
MANSFIELD | Ian Walker* |
11.4 |
15.4 |
|
|
42 |
BURLEIGH | Michael Hart* |
11.3 |
16.1 |
|
|
43 |
MIRANI | Ted Malone |
10.7 |
9.9 |
|
|
44 |
BROADWATER | Verity Barton* |
10.6 |
12.5 |
|
|
45 |
MUNDINGBURRA | David Crisafulli* |
10.3 |
16.5 |
|
|
46 |
SUNNYBANK | Mark Stewart* |
10.2 |
20.8 |
|
|
47 |
WHITSUNDAY | Jason Costigan* |
10.1 |
13 |
|
|
48 |
REDCLIFFE | Scott Driscoll* |
10.1 |
15.4 |
|
|
49 |
MURRUMBA | Reg Gulley* |
9.8 |
16.8 |
|
|
50 |
BURNETT | Stephen Bennett* |
9.8 |
-2.2 |
2PP vs IND |
|
51 |
BEAUDESERT | Jon Krause+ |
9.5 |
1.1 |
2PP vs KAP |
|
52 |
FERNY GROVE | Dale Shuttleworth* |
9.4 |
13.6 |
|
|
53 |
ALGESTER | Anthony Shorten* |
9.4 |
18.3 |
|
|
54 |
TOOWOOMBA NORTH | Trevor Watts* |
9.2 |
12.4 |
|
|
55 |
STRETTON | Freya Ostapovitch* |
8.9 |
18.3 |
|
|
56 |
NANANGO | Deb Frecklington* |
8.3 |
9.6 |
2PP vs KAP |
|
57 |
IPSWICH WEST | Sean Choat* |
7.5 |
16.7 |
|
|
58 |
STAFFORD | Chris Davis* |
7.5 |
14.6 |
|
|
59 |
CAIRNS | Gavin King* |
6.9 |
11.1 |
|
|
60 |
ASHGROVE | Campbell Newman* |
6.4 |
13.6 |
|
|
61 |
MORAYFIELD | Darren Grimwade* |
5.8 |
14.8 |
|
|
62 |
KEPPEL | Bruce Young* |
5.7 |
13.1 |
|
|
63 |
MOUNT COOT-THA | Saxon Rice* |
4.9 |
10.1 |
|
|
64 |
TOWNSVILLE | John Hathaway* |
4.6 |
8.7 |
|
|
65 |
IPSWICH | Ian Berry* |
4.4 |
20.9 |
|
|
66 |
LOGAN | Michael Pucci* |
4.1 |
18.1 |
|
|
67 |
BRISBANE CENTRAL | Rob Cavalucci* |
3.9 |
10.2 |
|
|
68 |
COOK | David Kempton* |
3.7 |
6.1 |
|
|
69 |
CAPALABA | Steve Davies* |
3.6 |
13.3 |
|
|
70 |
SANDGATE | Kerry Millard* |
3.5 |
15.7 |
|
|
71 |
NUDGEE | Jason Woodforth* |
3.4 |
17.6 |
|
|
72 |
GREENSLOPES | Ian Kaye* |
1.9 |
9.2 |
|
|
73 |
YEERONGPILLY | Carl Judge* |
1.5 |
10.1 |
|
|
74 |
THURINGOWA | Sam Cox* |
1.4 |
9.9 |
2PP vs KAP |
|
75 |
LYTTON | Neil Symes* |
1.1 |
13.1 |
|
|
76 |
WATERFORD | Mike Latter* |
1.1 |
17.2 |
|
|
77 |
MARYBOROUGH | Anne Maddern* |
0.4 |
17.9 |
2PP vs IND |
|
78 |
BULIMBA | Aaron Dillaway* |
0.1 |
7.5 |
|
| ALP SEATS (7) | |||||
|
79 |
MACKAY | Tim Mulherin |
0.5 |
16.2 |
|
|
80 |
MULGRAVE | Curtis Pitt |
1.5 |
7.1 |
|
|
81 |
BUNDAMBA | Jo-Ann Miller |
2.2 |
19.2 |
|
|
82 |
ROCKHAMPTON | Bill Byrne+ |
4.9 |
13.2 |
|
|
83 |
WOODRIDGE | Desley Scott |
5.5 |
20.2 |
|
|
84 |
SOUTH BRISBANE | Anna Bligh |
5.6 |
9.8 |
|
|
85 |
INALA | Annastacia Palaszczuk |
7.2 |
14.3 |
|
| KAP SEATS | |||||
|
86 |
DALRYMPLE | Shane Knuth |
15.7 |
2PP vs LNP | |
|
87 |
MOUNT ISA | Rob Katter |
10.9 |
2PP vs ALP | |
| INDEPENDENTS | |||||
|
88 |
GLADSTONE | Liz Cunningham |
13.7 |
2PP vs ALP | |
|
89 |
NICKLIN | Peter Wellington |
5.7 |
2PP vs LNP |
Thanks very much for all the work you put in to this. I understand that there must have been may hours spent in writing a compiling this information.
Thank you once again.